Ventspils vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2007 |
LIE
2 - 0
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
JFK
1 - 1
VEN
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
VEN
4 - 0
DIN
65%
21%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
FKD
3 - 1
VEN
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 0
FCS
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2007 |
FCD
2 - 0
JFK
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
DIN
2 - 1
FCD
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
FCS
3 - 1
FCD
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
FCD
1 - 3
FKR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LIE
3 - 1
FCD
82%
12%
6%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |