Ventspils vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
FKS
5 - 1
VEN
25%
27%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 0
LIE
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VEN
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RIG
1 - 2
VEN
27%
25%
47%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 2
FKJ
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
RIG
0 - 0
BFC
80%
13%
8%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 2
FKS
19%
26%
55%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 1
FSM
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
BFC
0 - 3
LIE
14%
22%
63%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
FKS
1 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |