Ventspils vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VEN
3 - 1
FKS
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VEN
3 - 0
FSM
75%
18%
7%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
VEN
1 - 2
FKJ
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
LIE
3 - 2
VEN
49%
26%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VEN
1 - 3
FCS
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
FSM
0 - 2
BFC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BFC
0 - 2
FKJ
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BFC
0 - 4
LIE
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 0
BFC
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FKS
2 - 1
BFC
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |