Venta del Moro vs Casas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
67.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+195%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venta del Moro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LHY
3 - 0
VDM
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VDM
10 - 0
SBE
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CUE
3 - 2
VDM
40%
21%
40%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VDM
1 - 3
CAM
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 1
VDM
23%
19%
58%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Casas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 4
ACA
65%
17%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 5
CAS
12%
14%
74%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
REQ
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 4
CAS
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
RRR
85%
9%
5%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |