Venta De Baños vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venta De Baños
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
VDB
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VDB
4 - 0
JOP
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
VDB
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VDB
0 - 2
VIL
37%
23%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 2
VDB
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIL
29%
22%
50%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 3
CAS
17%
18%
65%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 3
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAL
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |