Venezuela U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 1
VEN
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VEN
3 - 1
URU
7%
16%
78%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
VEN
1 - 1
ARG
3%
13%
84%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 3
BRA
3%
13%
84%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 3
PAR
9%
17%
74%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
GTM
3 - 1
NGA
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 2
NGA
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
NGA
0 - 2
CMR
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NGA
3 - 0
CIV
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 1
NGA
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |