Venezia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
3 - 0
VNZ
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 2
VNZ
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VNZ
1 - 2
REA
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
VNZ
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
USC
3 - 2
FER
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
USC
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
USA
1 - 0
USC
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
USC
0 - 0
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BV5
0 - 0
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |