Venezia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
TOR
4 - 2
VNZ
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
VNZ
4 - 3
MAN
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ATL
3 - 1
VNZ
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VNZ
0 - 1
FIO
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
VNZ
3 - 0
SSS
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 0
LEC
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 3
SPA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |