Venezia vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FCS
85%
11%
3%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
PES
1 - 1
VNZ
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
FIO
3 - 0
VNZ
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
VNZ
0 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LAZ
3 - 2
VNZ
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
SIE
2 - 2
PES
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
FCS
1 - 0
SIE
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 0
CRO
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 1
SIE
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
REG
1 - 0
SIE
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |