Venezia vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
VNZ
0 - 2
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
ACL
0 - 2
VNZ
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
VNZ
3 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
TRI
2 - 2
VNZ
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FIO
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SIE
1 - 2
PIS
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
BOL
6 - 3
SIE
77%
14%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
SIE
0 - 0
BOL
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
MAC
1 - 2
SIE
27%
22%
51%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
SIE
2 - 3
CIV
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 22 | 44 | 0 |