Venezia vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
FAN
4 - 5
VNZ
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 3
ACG
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
USA
0 - 0
VNZ
34%
25%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIN
3 - 1
VNZ
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAV
3 - 1
SCH
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RIM
2 - 0
SAV
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAV
2 - 1
BV5
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FAN
2 - 1
SAV
16%
23%
61%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACG
1 - 0
SAV
19%
24%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |