Venezia vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
GEN
5 - 1
VNZ
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 1
VNZ
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
PAL
0 - 2
VNZ
34%
26%
41%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 1
SIE
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
VIC
1 - 2
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
ROM
2 - 1
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
BAR
0 - 2
ROM
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |