Venezia vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
INT
2 - 1
VNZ
79%
13%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACL
65%
17%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 0
NAP
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
BAR
3 - 0
VNZ
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 0
VNZ
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ROM
3 - 1
JUV
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ACM
3 - 0
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |