Venezia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
CTT
1 - 0
VNZ
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
VNZ
1 - 0
JUS
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 1
VNZ
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PES
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 1
VNZ
77%
15%
7%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
PRG
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
ACD
0 - 2
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
PRG
0 - 0
USC
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
NUO
2 - 1
PRG
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
PES
2 - 2
PRG
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |