Venezia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
57.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
TRE
3 - 0
VNZ
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VNZ
0 - 3
TOR
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
VNZ
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
VNZ
2 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SAL
0 - 0
VNZ
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
PRG
0 - 1
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VIC
2 - 2
PRG
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
PRG
1 - 1
TOR
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
PRG
4 - 0
TER
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
EMP
1 - 0
PRG
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |