Venezia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
ASS
2 - 0
VNZ
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
VNZ
3 - 2
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
VNZ
1 - 0
CAT
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
TAR
0 - 0
VNZ
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 2
VNZ
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 3
ACP
64%
19%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
COM
2 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
PAR
3 - 0
ACM
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
BRE
3 - 1
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |