Serie B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Venezia vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
VNZ
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 1
VNZ
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 2
VNZ
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
VNZ
2 - 1
USC
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
VNZ
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |