Venezia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VNZ
0 - 0
PAL
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
VNZ
52%
28%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
VNZ
0 - 0
PIS
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
PAD
1 - 2
VNZ
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
VNZ
2 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VER
0 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
LEC
4 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 4
REG
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
NOV
3 - 0
POT
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |