Venezia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
CAT
2 - 0
VNZ
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
VNZ
4 - 0
SAL
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
FAN
1 - 0
VNZ
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
VNZ
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACM
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
MOD
2 - 2
FAN
60%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
MOD
3 - 0
MES
59%
21%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
ATP
0 - 1
MOD
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
TRE
3 - 1
MOD
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |