Venezia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 1
UDI
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 0
VNZ
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 2
SPA
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
TOR
4 - 2
VNZ
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
VNZ
4 - 3
MAN
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
INT
1 - 3
ACM
55%
21%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 3
SAM
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
VOJ
2 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 0
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ACM
4 - 3
UDI
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |