Venezia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
FIO
5 - 0
VNZ
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
VNZ
0 - 1
TOR
19%
23%
58%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1947 |
TRI
2 - 0
VNZ
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
ATL
3 - 2
VNZ
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
VNZ
0 - 2
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ACM
1 - 1
COM
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 3
ACM
45%
23%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
ACM
3 - 2
SAM
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
PRO
3 - 2
ACM
26%
23%
50%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 0
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |