Venezia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
TOR
3 - 1
VNZ
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
GEN
0 - 0
VNZ
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
VNZ
0 - 1
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
TRI
0 - 0
VNZ
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
TOR
4 - 0
VNZ
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
ACM
1 - 3
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
VIC
2 - 2
ACM
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
GEN
1 - 0
ACM
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
TOR
5 - 0
ACM
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |