Venezia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CAG
2 - 2
VNZ
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VNZ
2 - 1
TOR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VNZ
3 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
EMP
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
TRE
1 - 1
VNZ
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 3
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MES
2 - 2
PES
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 2
MES
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MES
2 - 0
SAL
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |