Venezia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
COS
1 - 2
VNZ
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
VNZ
1 - 2
VIC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
PAL
0 - 2
VNZ
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 0
VNZ
44%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MES
2 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CAG
0 - 2
MES
59%
24%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
MES
2 - 1
LIV
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
TER
1 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
ANC
2 - 1
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |