Venezia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PAD
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
SPA
3 - 2
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
VNZ
1 - 2
ROM
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
LEC
2 - 1
VNZ
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BOL
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
RPO
3 - 2
MES
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
VAR
2 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
MES
0 - 0
PAL
52%
28%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
VER
0 - 2
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
LIV
4 - 1
MES
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |