Venezia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
REG
0 - 0
VNZ
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
0 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ASS
3 - 1
VNZ
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 1
VER
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SSS
4 - 1
MES
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
MES
6 - 1
ASS
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MES
0 - 1
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |