Venezia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 2
VNZ
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
VNZ
3 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
SAL
3 - 2
VNZ
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
VNZ
2 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 2
VNZ
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
PIS
0 - 1
MES
63%
18%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
MES
0 - 1
FAN
69%
17%
14%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
MES
4 - 1
SPE
56%
21%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 0
MES
74%
14%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
68%
17%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |