Venezia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SAS
0 - 0
VNZ
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VNZ
1 - 0
GRO
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 0
VNZ
30%
29%
42%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
VNZ
5 - 0
PRO
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
USC
3 - 1
VNZ
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ASL
5 - 2
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
USI
1 - 0
ASL
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ASL
5 - 0
PAV
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PIZ
0 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ASL
0 - 2
ASS
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |