Venezia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
GEN
3 - 0
VNZ
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
VNZ
0 - 1
CES
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
PAL
2 - 2
VNZ
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
VNZ
2 - 1
USF
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
VNZ
1 - 0
REG
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 2
EMP
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
USF
2 - 0
ASL
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
REG
4 - 2
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 0
RAV
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |