Venezia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 2
VNZ
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
VNZ
3 - 1
GEN
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
TRI
2 - 0
VNZ
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BOL
6 - 1
VNZ
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
VNZ
0 - 8
PAD
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
ASL
6 - 3
PAD
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
ASL
0 - 5
INT
30%
23%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ROM
2 - 2
ASL
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ASL
3 - 1
COM
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |