Venezia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
INT
4 - 2
VNZ
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
VNZ
48%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 1
NAP
63%
19%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
GEN
1 - 0
VNZ
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
35%
24%
42%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
LIV
3 - 1
ATL
50%
22%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
LIV
0 - 1
TOR
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ROM
3 - 1
LIV
60%
20%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
LIV
2 - 1
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
LIV
2 - 2
BOL
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |