Venezia vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
17º
20º
20º
23
2º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 87 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
1º
|
54 | 84 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 79 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 69 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 68 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 68 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 64 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 59 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 55 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 46 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 42 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 35 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 35 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 32 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 28 |
19º
|
26% | |
|
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
20º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
17% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
83% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 1
VNZ
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VNZ
0 - 1
INT
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 100 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
VNZ
1 - 1
EMP
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 0
VNZ
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VNZ
2 - 1
CAG
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VER
0 - 3
LAZ
18%
22%
61%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 0
VER
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
VER
0 - 0
UDI
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 3
VER
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
ACM
16%
21%
63%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |