Venezia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1965 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VNZ
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
USA
0 - 1
VNZ
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
VNZ
2 - 0
REG
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
LEC
0 - 0
VNZ
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
VNZ
2 - 0
FCC
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
GEN
3 - 1
REG
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
REG
2 - 0
GEN
32%
29%
40%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
GEN
1 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
VER
2 - 1
GEN
33%
29%
39%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASS
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |