Venezia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
MOD
2 - 0
VNZ
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
VNZ
2 - 3
ROM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
VNZ
1 - 0
TOR
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
VIC
5 - 0
VNZ
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
VNZ
2 - 1
GEN
42%
23%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
1 - 2
MOD
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 2
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |