Venezia vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 0
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
VER
0 - 0
VNZ
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VNZ
3 - 2
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 2
VNZ
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PRO
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FCC
4 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
USA
0 - 3
FCC
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
FCC
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |