Venezia vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 3
VNZ
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VNZ
3 - 2
TER
52%
23%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 3
VNZ
21%
24%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VNZ
5 - 2
ITA
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 1
VNZ
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
VIN
55%
24%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCC
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
ACC
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
FCC
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
FCC
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |