Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-1
Venezia vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
VNZ
2 - 1
AVE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
VNZ
0 - 3
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
PIA
1 - 0
VNZ
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
VNZ
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
VNZ
1 - 1
VIC
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
EMP
2 - 2
LAZ
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
SIE
4 - 0
EMP
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
EMP
1 - 1
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
JUV
5 - 1
EMP
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 2
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |