Venezia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
VNZ
1 - 0
EMP
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
VNZ
3 - 1
CJA
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 31 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SAL
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 1
VNZ
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 3
VNZ
38%
28%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAG
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CAT
3 - 0
FAN
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 1
CAT
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 2
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 1
RPO
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |