Venezia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
VNZ
0 - 0
CRO
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2005 |
TRI
1 - 1
VNZ
58%
25%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
VNZ
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VNZ
2 - 4
PRG
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
CAT
0 - 1
MOD
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAT
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CAT
1 - 3
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CAT
3 - 0
TRE
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
ABN
1 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |