Venezia vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
VNZ
2 - 0
PES
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
EMP
3 - 2
VNZ
45%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
ASL
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
VNZ
0 - 1
GEN
28%
28%
45%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
CES
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
REG
1 - 0
CAS
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 3
BRE
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
CES
1 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAD
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 1
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |