Venezia vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
VNZ
1 - 0
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 6
VNZ
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
VNZ
2 - 2
POR
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PRG
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
PRO
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 0
GSD
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
INT
7 - 0
CAR
87%
11%
3%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |