Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 1-0
Venezia vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CAR
0 - 1
VNZ
31%
25%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
BRE
3 - 1
VNZ
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
VNZ
1 - 1
SAL
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
CHI
4 - 2
VNZ
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
VNZ
3 - 2
USC
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CAR
0 - 1
VNZ
31%
25%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 1
AMB
88%
8%
4%
|
57 | 14 | 43 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 3
PAR
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |