Venezia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1967 |
SPA
3 - 2
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
VNZ
1 - 2
ROM
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
LEC
2 - 1
VNZ
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BOL
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
VNZ
0 - 2
VIC
36%
30%
35%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
SAL
0 - 1
PAD
33%
31%
36%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1967 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAD
40%
30%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1967 |
PAD
3 - 2
INT
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 1
NAP
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |