Venezia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ASL
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
CSA
1 - 3
VNZ
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
VNZ
0 - 3
SAL
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
CHI
1 - 1
VNZ
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
VNZ
2 - 1
RAV
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 2
CAG
20%
23%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
CAG
0 - 0
REG
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAG
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
CAG
2 - 0
REG
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |