Venezia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
PRO
2 - 1
VNZ
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
VNZ
4 - 1
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 0
VNZ
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ASS
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
VER
2 - 1
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
BRE
1 - 1
REG
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
USF
0 - 0
BRE
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
BRE
0 - 1
PRO
61%
21%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |