Venezia vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
TOR
3 - 1
VNZ
73%
15%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
VNZ
1 - 3
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
VIC
2 - 0
VNZ
33%
22%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
VNZ
2 - 2
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
ROM
2 - 1
VNZ
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
2 - 2
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
ROM
5 - 1
ACL
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
3 - 0
ROM
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |