Venezia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VNZ
2 - 4
PRG
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
TRE
3 - 0
VNZ
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VNZ
0 - 3
TOR
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
VNZ
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
VNZ
2 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRE
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SAL
2 - 2
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 0
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ARZ
2 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |