Venezia vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 1
VNZ
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
VNZ
0 - 2
ACD
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ACL
1 - 2
VNZ
54%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
VNZ
0 - 1
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ABN
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAV
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 0
FCS
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAV
1 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAV
0 - 1
VIC
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PAV
1 - 1
COM
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |