Venda vs Milford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+299%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
16º
8º
7
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 56 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 52 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 51 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 50 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
7 | 40 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 36 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 36 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 19 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 18 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 2
VFA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VFA
1 - 0
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PCF
0 - 3
VFA
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
VFA
1 - 1
MAR
33%
31%
36%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VFA
0 - 0
PRE
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 1
PCF
17%
23%
61%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VFA
1 - 0
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAG
3 - 1
MIL
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MIL
4 - 3
CST
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
NBM
16%
22%
63%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |