VELO vs Die Haghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
3º
47
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
62.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VELO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
VOO
3 - 2
VEL
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
UVS
1 - 0
VEL
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 1
NOO
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SVW
3 - 2
VEL
26%
20%
55%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 3
HVV
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Die Haghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SVD
2 - 1
UVS
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NOO
2 - 0
SVD
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SVD
0 - 1
SVW
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HVV
0 - 1
SVD
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SVD
9 - 0
DEL
83%
11%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |